20 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TS
🇵🇱Tibor Spanik
ELO 1737
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kosowski
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kosowski
ELO 1802
FormWLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kosowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)