19 Jul · 17:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1412
2-3Final setsOgon won
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1268
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Jesiek at 80%. The actual result was Rafal Ogon 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jakub Jesiek favoured — closing 1.29
Total 74.5
108 points played
Set handicap
Jakub Jesiek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jakub Jesiek −7.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 2.65
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Jesiek is favoured to win, below means Rafal Ogon.
▲ Jakub Jesiekpre 80% → final 31%
Rafal Ogon ▼
Biggest swing 90 ptsOgon recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games