20 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1642
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sklensky
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1606
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Wisniewski covers set handicap as underdog 65% (75)
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H65-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.