20 Jul · 12:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PK
🇵🇱Patrik Klos
ELO 1716
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klos
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1707
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kuzmicz🌟Kuzmicz covers set handicap as underdog 74% (47)
Fair odds · Klos
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.