Jakub Michalczyk vs Gracjan Kesik — TT Elite Series

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19 Jul · 18:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk

ELO 1404

1-3Final setsKesik won

🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik

ELO 1514

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kesik at 63%. The actual result was Gracjan Kesik 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Jakub Michalczyk — profile →Gracjan Kesik — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jakub Michalczyk favoured — closing 1.61

Upset

Total 80.5

73 points played

Under

Set handicap

Jakub Michalczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jakub Michalczyk −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.59

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

6.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalczyk is favoured to win, below means Gracjan Kesik.

▲ Jakub Michalczykpre 39% → final 2%

Gracjan Kesik ▼

Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games