Gracjan Kesik vs Aleksander Lilien — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

19 Jul · 19:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik

ELO 1514

3-2Final setsKesik won

🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien

ELO 1462

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kesik at 51%. The actual result was Gracjan Kesik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Gracjan Kesik — profile →Aleksander Lilien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Aleksander Lilien favoured — closing 1.47

Upset

Total 78.5

98 points played

Over

Set handicap

Aleksander Lilien −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Aleksander Lilien −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.17

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.4

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Gracjan Kesik is favoured to win, below means Aleksander Lilien.

▲ Gracjan Kesikpre 55% → final 95%

Aleksander Lilien ▼

Biggest swing 84 ptsKesik recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games