Mariusz Baron vs Rafal Adach — TT Elite Series

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19 Jul · 22:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1517

3-2Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Rafal Adach

ELO 1402

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 61%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Rafal Adach — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Adach favoured — closing 1.59

Upset

Total 77.5

88 points played

Over

Set handicap

Adach −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Adach −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.3

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 58% → final 100%

Rafal Adach ▼

Biggest swing 89 ptsBaron recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games