Sebastian Krupa vs Jaroslaw Badura — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

19 Jul · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa

ELO 1469

0-3Final setsBadura won

🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura

ELO 1477

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 53%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 0-3 — the pick was correct.

Sebastian Krupa — profile →Jaroslaw Badura — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Krupa favoured — closing 1.69

Upset

Total 78.5

54 points played

Under

Set handicap

Krupa −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Krupa −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.47

Under

Exact score

market priced 0-3 at close

6.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Krupa is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Badura.

▲ Sebastian Krupapre 50% → final 62%

Jaroslaw Badura ▼

Biggest swing 50 ptsKrupa recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games