19 Jul · 23:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1412
1-3Final setsOgon won
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1268
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Jesiek at 75%. The actual result was Rafal Ogon 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jesiek favoured — closing 1.29
Total 74.5
74 points played
Set handicap
Jesiek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jesiek −7.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.35
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Jesiek is favoured to win, below means Rafal Ogon.
▲ Jakub Jesiekpre 74% → final 29%
Rafal Ogon ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsOgon recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games