20 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1621
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sklensky
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1560
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)