20 Jul · 21:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1560
FormWLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kapik
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1699
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Kapik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H78-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-37)