Sebastian Krupa vs Rafal Ogon — TT Elite Series

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20 Jul · 02:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa

ELO 1469

2-3Final setsOgon won

🇵🇱Rafal Ogon

ELO 1268

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krupa at 66%. The actual result was Rafal Ogon 2-3 — the underdog won.

Sebastian Krupa — profile →Rafal Ogon — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Krupa favoured — closing 1.22

Upset

Total 75.5

91 points played

Over

Set handicap

Krupa −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Krupa −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.42

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

5.65

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Krupa is favoured to win, below means Rafal Ogon.

▲ Sebastian Krupapre 64% → final 61%

Rafal Ogon ▼

Biggest swing 38 pts72 points · 5 games