Kacper Szurlej vs Jakub Chmielowski — TT Elite Series

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20 Jul · 04:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej

ELO 1485

2-3Final setsChmielowski won

🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski

ELO 1613

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmielowski at 61%. The actual result was Jakub Chmielowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Kacper Szurlej — profile →Jakub Chmielowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Chmielowski favoured — closing 1.53

Favourite won

Total 77.5

85 points played

Over

Set handicap

Chmielowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Chmielowski −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.32

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Szurlej is favoured to win, below means Jakub Chmielowski.

▲ Kacper Szurlejpre 42% → final 9%

Jakub Chmielowski ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsChmielowski recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games