Kacper Szurlej vs Jakub Chmielowski — TT Elite Series

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20 Jul · 06:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej

ELO 1485

3-2Final setsSzurlej won

🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski

ELO 1613

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmielowski at 63%. The actual result was Kacper Szurlej 3-2 — the underdog won.

Kacper Szurlej — profile →Jakub Chmielowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Szurlej favoured — closing 1.53

Favourite won

Total 77.5

116 points played

Over

Set handicap

Szurlej −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Szurlej −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.32

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Szurlej is favoured to win, below means Jakub Chmielowski.

▲ Kacper Szurlejpre 39% → final 9%

Jakub Chmielowski ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsChmielowski recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games