Artur Sobel vs Aleksander Lilien — TT Elite Series

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20 Jul · 10:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Artur Sobel

ELO 1485

3-1Final setsSobel won

🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien

ELO 1457

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 53%. The actual result was Artur Sobel 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Artur Sobel — profile →Aleksander Lilien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lilien favoured — closing 1.4

Upset

Total 78.5

74 points played

Under

Set handicap

Lilien −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Lilien −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.53

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

7.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Sobel is favoured to win, below means Aleksander Lilien.

▲ Artur Sobelpre 57% → final 96%

Aleksander Lilien ▼

Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games