Jerzy Michalik vs Mateusz Baran — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

21 Jul · 00:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik

ELO 1464

1-3Final setsBaran won

🇵🇱Mateusz Baran

ELO 1534

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baran at 57%. The actual result was Mateusz Baran 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Jerzy Michalik — profile →Mateusz Baran — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mateusz Baran favoured — closing 1.34

Favourite won

Total 74.5

70 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mateusz Baran −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Mateusz Baran −6.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.35

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

3.55

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Michalik is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Baran.

▲ Jerzy Michalikpre 46% → final 20%

Mateusz Baran ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsBaran recovered from 36%68 points · 4 games