Jakub Nowak vs Rafal Idaczyk — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 03:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Jakub Nowak

ELO 1333

2-3Final setsIdaczyk won

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1461

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 60%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Jakub Nowak — profile →Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Idaczyk favoured — closing 1.6

Favourite won

Total 76.5

101 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rafal Idaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Idaczyk −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.42

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

4.15

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nowak is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Jakub Nowakpre 36% → final 19%

Rafal Idaczyk ▼

Biggest swing 43 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 38%72 points · 5 games