21 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1571
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1429
FormLLWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)