Kacper Szurlej vs Jakub Chmielowski — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej

ELO 1501

3-1Final setsSzurlej won

🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski

ELO 1597

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmielowski at 59%. The actual result was Kacper Szurlej 3-1 — the underdog won.

Kacper Szurlej — profile →Jakub Chmielowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jakub Chmielowski favoured — closing 1.45

Upset

Total 76.5

88 points played

Over

Set handicap

Jakub Chmielowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jakub Chmielowski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.42

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

6.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Szurlej is favoured to win, below means Jakub Chmielowski.

▲ Kacper Szurlejpre 44% → final 73%

Jakub Chmielowski ▼

Biggest swing 51 ptsSzurlej recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games