Rafal Idaczyk vs Pawel Kurek — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1461

3-0Final setsIdaczyk won

🇵🇱Pawel Kurek

ELO 1515

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 66%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 3-0 — the underdog won.

Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Pawel Kurek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.41

Upset

Total 74.5

51 points played

Under

Set handicap

Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Pawel Kurek −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.33

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

8.7

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 36% → final 99%

Pawel Kurek ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 36%50 points · 3 games