21 Jul · 06:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1333
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1458
FormWWWWW
37%
63%
🌟Urban goes over total as favourite 75% (24)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H33-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-16)