21 Jul · 13:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AW
🇵🇱Adrian Wiecek
ELO 1803
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Wiecek
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1707
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
🌟Nowalinski goes over total as underdog 68% (59)
Fair odds · Wiecek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H25-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-23)