21 Jul · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JV
🇵🇱Jiri Vrablik
ELO 1541
FormLWLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Wiecek
AW
🇵🇱Adrian Wiecek
ELO 1803
FormLLLWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Wiecek
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+262
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+262)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)