21 Jul · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1195
FormLWWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1458
FormWWWWW
24%
76%
🌟Urban goes over total as favourite 75% (24)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~77 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+263
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)