21 Jul · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1424
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mecik
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1365
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mecik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)