21 Jul · 12:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1707
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Olejnik
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1878
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Nowalinski goes over total as underdog 68% (59)
Fair odds · Olejnik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+171
H2H14-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-1)