21 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kosowski
ELO 1807
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Olejnik
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1878
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kosowski🌟Kosowski covers set handicap as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Olejnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H43-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-31)