21 Jul · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1878
FormWWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Olejnik
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1677
FormLWLLL
71%
29%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sporek🌟Sporek goes over total as underdog 71% (49)
Fair odds · Olejnik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)