21 Jul · 10:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1333
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1515
FormLLWLL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)