Rafal Niemiec vs Grzegorz Marud — TT Elite Series

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20 Jul · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec

ELO 1541

2-3Final setsMarud won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud

ELO 1468

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 66%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 2-3 — the underdog won.

Rafal Niemiec — profile →Grzegorz Marud — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.29

Upset

Total 75.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Rafal Niemiec −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.52

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

5.45

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 64% → final 6%

Grzegorz Marud ▼

Biggest swing 71 ptsMarud recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games