21 Jul · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇵🇱Jiri Vrablik
ELO 1569
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1635
FormLLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)