Mariusz Baron vs Karol Jablonski — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 09:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1502

2-3Final setsJablonski won

🇵🇱Karol Jablonski

ELO 1436

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 60%. The actual result was Karol Jablonski 2-3 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Karol Jablonski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Baron favoured — closing 1.59

Upset

Total 80.5

87 points played

Over

Set handicap

Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Baron −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.05

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Karol Jablonski.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 57% → final 1%

Karol Jablonski ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsJablonski recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games