Jakub Chmielowski vs Grzegorz Poliniewicz — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 10:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski

ELO 1602

3-2Final setsChmielowski won

🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz

ELO 1629

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 53%. The actual result was Jakub Chmielowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

Jakub Chmielowski — profile →Grzegorz Poliniewicz — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.76

Upset

Total 78.5

99 points played

Over

Set handicap

Poliniewicz −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Poliniewicz −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.17

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Chmielowski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Jakub Chmielowskipre 50% → final 70%

Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼

Biggest swing 62 ptsChmielowski recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games