21 Jul · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1620
FormLWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Koczyba
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1452
FormWWLWW
68%
32%
🌟Przewlocki goes over total as underdog 74% (31)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)