Rafal Gajda vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

21 Jul · 11:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1460

1-3Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1497

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 54%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Gajda — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Gajda favoured — closing 1.76

Upset

Total 41.5

71 points played

Over

Set handicap

Gajda −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Gajda −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.63

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

5.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 49% → final 95%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 70 ptsGajda recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games