21 Jul · 23:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1430
FormWWWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1561
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)