22 Jul · 01:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1711
FormWWLWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Wojtaszczyk
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1430
FormWWWLL
78%
22%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+281
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+281)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)