22 Jul · 01:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1608
FormWLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pruszkowski
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1452
FormWWLWW
67%
33%
🌟Przewlocki goes over total as underdog 74% (31)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~80 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H20-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-3)