22 Jul · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1430
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1364
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 69% (70)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)