Rafal Gajda vs Michal Oracz — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 16:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1457

3-2Final setsGajda won

🇵🇱Michal Oracz

ELO 1559

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 61%. The actual result was Rafal Gajda 3-2 — the underdog won.

Rafal Gajda — profile →Michal Oracz — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Oracz favoured — closing 1.58

Upset

Total 79.5

80 points played

Over

Set handicap

Michal Oracz −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Oracz −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.07

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Michal Oracz.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 35% → final 87%

Michal Oracz ▼

Biggest swing 67 ptsGajda recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games