Maksymilian Rus vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 17:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus

ELO 1338

3-0Final setsRus won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1487

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 57%. The actual result was Maksymilian Rus 3-0 — the underdog won.

Maksymilian Rus — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.26

Upset

Total 78.5

64 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.55

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Rus is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Maksymilian Ruspre 39% → final 75%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 77 ptsRus recovered from 22%72 points · 5 games