21 Jul · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1798
FormWWWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Molenda
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1564
FormLLLLW
74%
26%
🌟Nocun covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H15-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-1)