21 Jul · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1497
FormLLWWL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1797
FormLWWWW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+300
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+300)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)