Michal Machelski vs Zbigniew Nocun — TT Elite Series

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21 Jul · 22:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Michal Machelski

ELO 1499

1-3Final setsNocun won

🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun

ELO 1580

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 66%. The actual result was Zbigniew Nocun 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Michal Machelski — profile →Zbigniew Nocun — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Machelski favoured — closing 1.63

Upset

Total 76.5

72 points played

Under

Set handicap

Michal Machelski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Michal Machelski −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.41

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

5.4

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Zbigniew Nocun.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 36% → final 0%

Zbigniew Nocun ▼

Biggest swing 47 pts71 points · 4 games