22 Jul · 01:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1481
FormWWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1596
FormWWWWW
38%
62%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H6-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)