22 Jul · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vincenec
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1466
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Vincenec goes over total as favourite 74% (19)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+24
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.