22 Jul · 05:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1420
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Myszewski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1360
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)