22 Jul · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1480
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1646
FormWLWLW
32%
68%
🌟Tkocz stays under total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H28-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-5)