22 Jul · 05:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1336
FormWLLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1581
FormWLWWW
25%
75%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+245
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+245)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)