22 Jul · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1422
FormWWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Myszewski
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1296
FormWWLLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)